Gold hardly changed as traders await US data

Bengaluru — Gold prices were set for a fourth consecutive monthly gain, even as the market struggled for momentum on Friday ahead of a key US inflation reading that could provide more indications on how the Federal Reserve might proceed with rate cuts later in the year.

Spot gold was unchanged at $2,343.04/oz by 3.56am GMT. Bullion prices are up 0.3% so far this week and 2.5% so far in the month. US gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,341.40.

The monthly gains are due to “the central bank [buying] element and the residual geopolitical risk story”, said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com.

The market is now waiting for the release of the US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, the Fed’s preferred measure for inflation, at 12.30pm GMT.

“Ahead of the data, gold prices have been largely treading water.... A weaker US GDP read last night may call for imminent policy easing, but much validation will still revolve around the extent of inflation progress,” said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

Any upside in PCE could put gold on the back foot but it may take much more to reverse the broader upward trend, with buyers likely to step in to defend the $2,300 level, he said.

Data on Thursday showed that the US economy grew more slowly in the first quarter than previously estimated.

Meanwhile, traders have dialled back rate-cut expectations after Fed officials recently struck a hawkish tone that suggests a longer route to the 2% inflation target.

While bullion is considered an inflation hedge, higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

Spot silver fell 0.8% to $30.95/oz, but was set for its biggest monthly gain since July 2020.

Platinum was down 0.2% at $1,021.94 and palladium lost 0.2% to $945.56.

Nornickel, the world's largest producer of palladium , said it expected a global deficit of 0.9-million ounces for palladium in 2024.

Reuters